The French election on Sunday went as expected, with a victory for Emmanuel Macron, a centrist with no real political experience.
A few days before the election, his opponent, the very conservative Marine LePen, said that one week later France would have a female leader, either Ms. LePen or Germany’s Angela Merkel. As if to prove the point, Mr. Macron’s first promise, to issue joint Eurobonds, was quickly over-ruled by Germany’s leader. Germans are far more frugal than most other nations – the idea of issuing joint bonds with France is not going to come to fruition.
Macron is a very successful investment banker, with considerable personal wealth. He is likely to be successful in moving France’s economy forward. He will certainly be an improvement over his socialist predecessor who is leaving office with a 4% approval rating. But he is not likely to solve France’s immigration problem or the connected problem of domestic terrorism. In fact, he doesn’t even seem to see these two problems.
The movement that brought him to power (En Marche – “On the move”) is only now starting to form a political party, with only a few days before the elections for the French parliament. It is quite conceivable that Ms. LePen’s National Front could dominate parliament and give M. Macron a hard time. M. Macron hasn’t started yet, while Ms. LePen certainly isn’t finished.
Macron has also been speaking out against Brexit, describing it as a “crime.” That shows little respect for British democracy. A French lawyer is also trying to get Brexit cancelled on the grounds that the referendum was “illegal” – in effect, both men are saying that no matter how bad Europe is, you have to stay in it! The EU’s dictatorial nature is becoming more and more apparent.
It is also increasingly clear that every nation in Europe has to bow to Berlin. Note the following:
Macron to hold talks with Merkel in Berlin on first day of new job Oliver Gee * firstname.lastname@example.org , 12 May 2017, The Local
Emmanuel Macron will head to Berlin on Monday – the day after he is inaugurated as the new president of France – to hold talks with Chancellor Angela Merkel.
The German leader had welcomed Macron’s win in France, saying he “carries the hopes of millions of French people and also many in Germany and across Europe.”
The 39-year-old had stressed his “common ground” with the German chancellor on economic reform, fiscal discipline and Europe’s future. The former economy minister had also wanted to strengthen ties with Germany. The symbolism of Macron meeting Merkel on his first full day as president won’t be lost on the far right Marine Le Pen who had criticized Macron for being pro-EU and said if he won then France will remain under Merkel’s rule.
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble on Thursday underlined common ground with Macron in Germany and France’s bid to bolster the European Union, which has been buffeted by Britain’s decision to quit the bloc.
Schaeuble said both he and Macron are in favor of creating a parliament for the 19-country eurozone. “A eurozone parliament could be set up, made up of European parliamentarians, which would have consultative powers” for moving forward the European Stability Mechanism (ESM),” Schaeuble said. (https://www.thelocal.de/20170512/macron-to-meet-merkel-in-berlin-on-first-day-of-new-job)
Germany’s growing ties to Turkey are highlighted below. It brings back memories of the alliance between Germany and Turkey forged immediately prior to World War One. Germany seems to be replacing the US as Turkey’s chief ally – a situation that will receive a further boost now that the US is supplying arms to the Kurds in the war against ISIS. Turkey has its own problem with the Kurds and does not want them to receive arms.
Germany is negotiating new arms deals with Turkey German-Foreign-Policy.com newsletter , 11 May 2017
BERLIN / ANKARA (Own report) – The German government is negotiating new German-Turkish arms deals, as was confirmed by the German Ministry of Economics. Brigitte Zypries (SPD), Minister of the Economy, spoke with the CEO of Rheinmetall weapons manufacturer about upgrading the Turkish Leopard battle tank. “In principle,” such deals with NATO partners “can not to be restricted,” according to Berlin. The German government is also seeking to re-invigorate German-Turkish economic cooperation, to strengthen bilateral relations. Germany does not want to lose Turkey as a “bridge” connecting Germany and the EU to the Middle East. Under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Ankara is not only strengthening the country’s economy and, in the long run, making it one of the world’s top ten economies (“Vision 2023”), he is also planning to transform the country into an independent regional power, forming alliances as it chooses – no longer dependent on the western states.
The reorientation of its foreign policy is accompanied by the country’s transformation into a presidential dictatorship.
AUSTRIAN ELECTION LIKELY
Following the resignation of the OVP party leader from the governing coalition, another election in Austria is likely. This time, the right wing People’s Party is doing well in the polls, which show they have more than 30% of the population behind them. The party, like other right-wing parties in Europe, is against Islamization and the arrival of millions of Muslim immigrants.
With the French and Dutch elections, we saw that European countries are out of line with the US and Britain.
We also see the remaining 27 countries of the EU sticking together – it’s increasingly unlikely that any other nations will break away, especially as the EU seems determined to punish the UK for leaving the organization.
Thirdly, a clearer picture is emerging of Berlin’s role as the leader in Europe.
Europe now is a German led super power, with a greater economic role than the US and with the potential to play a much bigger military role.